Market Making under a Weakly Consistent Limit Order Book Model

—

Market Making under a Weakly Consistent Limit Order Book Model

Baron Law
Frederi Viens
Published on 3/18/2019
ETFs
Equities
High frequency trading
Machine learning

This paper introduces a novel market-making model designed for high-frequency trading in limit order books (LOBs), addressing key shortcomings of the classical Avellaneda-Stoikov framework. The authors define a 'weakly consistent' LOB model that enforces direction and timing consistency: price movements must align with order types (e.g., prices cannot rise on sell market orders). The model classifies orders into twelve types based on aggressiveness and uses marked point processes to capture the discrete, jump-driven nature of prices. The market maker's control problem is formulated as an optimal switching and impulse control problem, leading to a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequality (HJBQVI) solved numerically via finite differences.

A key contribution is demonstrating that inconsistent LOB models, which allow price movements independent of order flow, can severely overstate market-making profits. In simulated backtests calibrated to ETF data, the authors show profit overstatement exceeding 50%. The model also respects price-time priority and discrete price ticks, making it more applicable to real electronic exchanges. Numerical results illustrate optimal bid-ask spreads as functions of inventory and risk aversion, providing practical insights for high-frequency market makers. The paper bridges the gap between theoretical market-making models and realistic LOB dynamics, offering a more reliable framework for strategy evaluation.

Highlights

  • 1Develops a new market-making model tailored for high-frequency trading under a limit order book (LOB) that enforces direction and timing consistency of price movements.
  • 2Exploits optimal switching and impulse control on marked point processes, departing from the classical diffusion-based Avellaneda-Stoikov framework.
  • 3Demonstrates that inconsistent LOB models can overstate market-making profits by more than 50% in simulated backtests.
  • 4Calibrates the model to real ETF order book statistics and provides full numerical analysis using finite-difference methods.

Methods

  • M
    Optimal switching and impulse control on marked point processes for modeling order book events.
  • M
    Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequality (HJBQVI) solved via finite-difference method.
  • M
    Weakly consistent level-one reduced-form LOB model with twelve order types classified by aggressiveness.
  • M
    Calibration to order book statistics of a popular ETF.

Results

  • R
    The proposed model respects direction consistency: prices never move down on buy market orders or up on sell market orders.
  • R
    Inconsistent LOB models (e.g., Avellaneda-Stoikov) can overstate market-making profit by over 50%.
  • R
    Optimal bid and ask spreads are computed numerically, showing sensitivity to inventory and risk aversion.
  • R
    The model captures price-time priority and discrete price ticks, making it more realistic for electronic exchanges.
0/5

Analyze Paper

Generate insights from "Market Making under a Weakly Consistent Limit Order Book Mod...".

Suggested Actions