QuantaAlpha: An Evolutionary Framework for LLM-Driven Alpha Mining
QuantaAlpha: An Evolutionary Framework for LLM-Driven Alpha Mining
QuantaAlpha is an evolutionary framework for LLM-driven alpha mining that addresses key challenges in financial factor discovery: noisy backtesting feedback, non-stationary markets, and limited exploration. The framework treats each end-to-end mining run as a trajectory and applies two evolutionary operators—mutation and crossover—to iteratively improve factors. Mutation localizes and revises suboptimal steps via self-reflection, while crossover recombines validated segments from high-reward trajectories, enabling structured exploration and reliable reuse of effective patterns. To ensure robustness, QuantaAlpha enforces semantic consistency across hypotheses, symbolic expressions, and executable code, and applies complexity and redundancy controls to prevent overfitting and factor crowding.
Extensive experiments on the CSI 300 index demonstrate that QuantaAlpha significantly outperforms traditional machine learning models, deep learning models, factor libraries, and prior LLM-based agentic systems (RD-Agent and AlphaAgent). Using GPT-5.2, it achieves an Information Coefficient of 0.1501, an annualized return of 27.75%, and a maximum drawdown of only 7.98%. Ablation studies confirm that each component—diversified planning, mutation, crossover, and generation constraints—contributes non-trivially to overall performance. Moreover, factors mined on CSI 300 transfer effectively to CSI 500 and S&P 500 without any adaptation, yielding cumulative excess returns of 160% and 137% over four years, respectively. This demonstrates strong generalization under market distribution shifts and highlights the framework's potential for real-world quantitative investment.
Highlights
- 1Proposes QuantaAlpha, an evolutionary alpha mining framework that treats each mining run as a trajectory and improves factors via trajectory-level mutation and crossover.
- 2Introduces diversified planning initialization to generate complementary hypotheses, expanding search coverage and reducing premature convergence.
- 3Enforces semantic consistency across hypothesis, factor expression, and code, with complexity and redundancy controls to mitigate crowding and alpha decay.
- 4Achieves state-of-the-art performance on CSI 300 with IC of 0.1501, ARR of 27.75%, and MDD of 7.98% using GPT-5.2.
- 5Demonstrates strong zero-shot transferability to CSI 500 and S&P 500, with cumulative excess returns of 160% and 137% over four years.
Methods
- MTrajectory-level mutation: localizes suboptimal steps via self-reflection and rewrites only the corresponding segment while preserving the rest.
- MTrajectory-level crossover: recombines complementary high-reward segments from multiple parent trajectories to reuse validated patterns.
- MControllable factor construction with intermediate symbolic representation (AST) and consistency verification to align hypothesis, expression, and code.
- MComplexity and redundancy control using symbolic length, parameter count, and AST-based structural similarity to promote parsimony and novelty.
Results
- RQuantaAlpha with GPT-5.2 achieves IC of 0.1501, ICIR of 0.9110, ARR of 27.75%, and MDD of 7.98% on CSI 300, outperforming all baselines.
- RAblation shows mutation contributes most to predictive power (IC drop of 0.0292 when removed), while planning and crossover improve strategy stability.
- RZero-shot transfer to CSI 500 yields 160% cumulative excess return over four years; to S&P 500 yields 137%, indicating strong robustness to market shifts.
- RAnnual IC analysis reveals QuantaAlpha maintains performance through the 2023 regime shift, while baselines collapse due to reliance on large-cap patterns.
- RDisabling all generation controls (consistency, complexity, redundancy) leads to the largest degradation, confirming their complementary roles.
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