AlphaAgent: LLM-Driven Alpha Mining with Regularized Exploration to Counteract Alpha Decay

—

AlphaAgent: LLM-Driven Alpha Mining with Regularized Exploration to Counteract Alpha Decay

Ziyi Tang
Zechuan Chen
Jiarui Yang
Jiayao Mai
Yongsen Zheng
Keze Wang
Jinrui Chen
Liang Lin
Published on 2/24/2025
Equities
United States (US)
China
AI
LLM
Multi-Agent
Machine learning
Factor investing
Stock picking

AlphaAgent addresses the critical problem of alpha decay in quantitative finance by introducing a novel LLM-driven framework with systematic regularization. The framework employs three key mechanisms: originality enforcement via abstract syntax tree (AST) similarity against existing alpha libraries, hypothesis-factor alignment using LLM-evaluated semantic consistency, and complexity control through AST-based structural constraints. These mechanisms guide the generation of alpha factors that balance financial rationale, novelty, and adaptability to evolving market conditions, thereby mitigating the risk of alpha decay.

The system operates through a closed-loop multi-agent architecture comprising an idea agent (generates market hypotheses), a factor agent (constructs AST-based factor expressions using an operator library), and an eval agent (backtests and provides feedback). This iterative process continuously refines factors to capture emerging market inefficiencies rather than overcrowded signals. Extensive experiments on Chinese CSI 500 and U.S. S&P 500 markets from 2021 to 2024 demonstrate that AlphaAgent significantly outperforms traditional genetic programming, reinforcement learning, and existing LLM-based methods in both performance and resistance to alpha decay, achieving annual excess returns of 11.0% and 8.74% respectively, with an 81% higher hit ratio and 30% fewer tokens consumed.

Highlights

  • 1Proposes AlphaAgent, an LLM-driven autonomous framework with three regularization mechanisms (originality enforcement, hypothesis alignment, complexity control) to counteract alpha decay.
  • 2Introduces a novel similarity measure based on abstract syntax trees (ASTs) to quantify factor originality against existing alpha libraries.
  • 3Implements a closed-loop multi-agent system (idea, factor, eval agents) that iteratively generates, evaluates, and refines alpha factors.
  • 4Achieves superior resistance to alpha decay, with 81% higher hit ratio and 30% fewer tokens consumed compared to baselines.
  • 5Demonstrates consistent performance across Chinese CSI 500 and U.S. S&P 500 markets from 2021 to 2024, with annual excess returns of 11.0% and 8.74% respectively.

Methods

  • M
    Regularized exploration using AST-based similarity, LLM-evaluated hypothesis-factor alignment, and complexity control via symbolic length and parameter counting.
  • M
    Multi-agent framework with idea agent (hypothesis generation), factor agent (AST-based factor construction with operator library), and eval agent (backtesting and feedback).
  • M
    Closed-loop iterative refinement: hypotheses are generated, factors are constructed under regularization, evaluated, and feedback drives next iteration.

Results

  • R
    AlphaAgent achieves average annual excess returns of 11.0% (IR=1.5) on CSI 500 and 8.74% (IR=1.05) on S&P 500 after transaction costs.
  • R
    Outperforms traditional GP, RL, and LLM-based methods in mitigating alpha decay, with 81% higher effective factor ratio (hit ratio).
  • R
    Maintains stable predictive power (IC, RankIC) across bull and bear markets, while traditional factors exhibit significant decay.
  • R
    Demonstrates 30% lower token consumption compared to existing LLM-based approaches.
0/5

Analyze Paper

Generate insights from "AlphaAgent: LLM-Driven Alpha Mining with Regularized Explora...".

Suggested Actions