Financial Trading Model with Stock Bar Chart Image Time Series with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks

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Financial Trading Model with Stock Bar Chart Image Time Series with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks

Omer Berat Sezer
Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu
Published on 3/11/2019
Equities
Stocks
United States (US)
AI
Deep learning
Machine learning
Stock picking
Trend-following
Backtesting

This paper introduces a novel approach to algorithmic trading by directly using 2-D stock bar chart images as input to a deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), bypassing traditional time series data analysis. The proposed CNN-BI model represents one of the first attempts to apply computer vision techniques to raw financial chart images for trading decisions, marking a significant departure from conventional quantitative finance methods that typically rely on numerical time series data.

The methodology involves generating sliding windows of 30-day bar chart images from Dow 30 stocks and training a deep CNN model specifically designed for this task. The researchers tested their approach across two distinct periods (2007-2012 and 2012-2017) to evaluate performance under different market conditions. Results demonstrate that the CNN-BI model successfully outperformed the Buy and Hold strategy, with particularly strong performance in trendless or bear markets. As a preliminary study, the authors acknowledge room for improvement but highlight the promising nature of this unconventional approach and its potential for integration into ensemble trading systems combined with other strategies.

Highlights

  • 1Proposes a novel algorithmic trading model (CNN-BI) using 2-D stock bar chart images directly without traditional time series data
  • 2One of the first attempts to apply deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to raw financial chart images for trading decisions
  • 3Demonstrates the model's ability to outperform the Buy and Hold strategy, particularly in trendless or bear markets
  • 4Shows potential for integration into ensemble trading models combined with other strategies

Methods

  • M
    Deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture trained on 2-D bar chart images
  • M
    Generation of sliding windows of 30-day bar chart images from Dow 30 stocks
  • M
    Separate testing across two periods (2007-2012 and 2012-2017) to represent different market conditions

Results

  • R
    The CNN-BI model outperformed the Buy and Hold strategy in both testing periods
  • R
    Performance was particularly strong in trendless or bear market conditions
  • R
    The approach shows promising results as a preliminary study with unconventional methodology
  • R
    Model demonstrates potential for future improvements and integration into ensemble systems
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