Trade in Minutes! Rationality-Driven Agentic System for Quantitative Financial Trading
Trade in Minutes! Rationality-Driven Agentic System for Quantitative Financial Trading
The paper presents TiMi (Trade in Minutes), a rationality-driven multi-agent system for quantitative financial trading that addresses limitations of existing LLM-based trading agents, such as emotional biases from anthropomorphic role-playing and high computational costs from continuous inference. TiMi architecturally decouples strategy development (policy and optimization stages) from minute-level deployment, enabling complex reasoning offline while executing lightweight trading bots in real time. The system comprises four specialized agents: a macro analysis agent that identifies market patterns using technical indicators, a strategy adaptation agent that customizes strategies for specific trading pairs, a bot evolution agent that implements trading bots via layered programming (strategy, function, parameter layers), and a feedback reflection agent that performs closed-loop optimization by formulating mathematical problems (e.g., linear programming) from risk scenarios to refine parameters hierarchically.
Empirical evaluations across over 200 trading pairs in U.S. stock index futures and cryptocurrency markets demonstrate TiMi's superior performance. In backtesting on 2024 data, TiMi achieves the highest Sharpe ratios (1.25 for mainstream coins, 1.27 for altcoins) and competitive annual returns (up to 23.7% in altcoins), outperforming quantitative methods (e.g., MACD, TSMOM), ML/RL approaches (e.g., LSTM, DDPG), and LLM-based agents (e.g., FinGPT, TradingAgents). Live trading from January to April 2025 confirms robustness, with TiMi achieving 13.7% ARR and 1.14 Sharpe in altcoins while maintaining low drawdowns. The system also demonstrates scalability (213 trading pairs) and data efficiency (requiring only 4 hours of market data), highlighting its practical applicability for retail and institutional traders seeking automated, rational, and efficient trading solutions.
Highlights
- 1Introduces TiMi, a rationality-driven multi-agent system for quantitative trading that decouples strategy development from minute-level deployment.
- 2Proposes a two-tier analytical paradigm from macro patterns to micro customization, leveraging technical indicators rather than emotional biases.
- 3Implements a closed-loop optimization system using mathematical reflection (e.g., linear programming) for hierarchical parameter, function, and strategy refinement.
- 4Achieves superior performance across 200+ trading pairs in stock and cryptocurrency markets, with notable Sharpe ratios of 1.27 in altcoin backtesting and 13.7% ARR in live altcoin trading.
Methods
- MMulti-agent architecture with decoupled analysis and deployment: macro analysis, strategy adaptation, bot evolution, and feedback reflection agents.
- MTwo-tier analytical paradigm: macro-level pattern analysis using technical indicators, followed by pair-specific customization via semantic analysis and mathematical reasoning.
- MLayered programming design for trading bots: strategy, function, and parameter layers with programming laws (functional cohesion, unidirectional dependency, parameter externalization).
- MClosed-loop optimization driven by mathematical reflection: feedback is transformed into linear programming problems to solve for optimal parameters within risk-constrained feasible spaces.
Results
- RIn backtesting (2024), TiMi achieves ARR/SR/MDD of 8.9%/0.84/10.5% (U.S. stocks), 16.5%/1.25/12.1% (mainstream coins), and 23.7%/1.27/26.0% (altcoins), outperforming quantitative, ML/RL, and LLM-agent baselines.
- RIn live trading (2025 Jan-Apr), TiMi achieves ARR/SR of 6.4%/0.72 (U.S. stocks), 8.0%/0.85 (mainstream coins), and 13.7%/1.14 (altcoins), with competitive drawdown control.
- RTiMi supports 213 trading pairs with minute-level trading frequency, surpassing ML/RL and LLM-agent methods in scalability and data efficiency (requires only 4 hours of market data).
- RThe decoupling mechanism reduces inference cost per trade to that of a lightweight bot, enabling high-frequency deployment without continuous LLM inference.
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