Quasi-Centralized Limit Order Books
Quasi-Centralized Limit Order Books
This paper presents the first detailed empirical study of quasi-centralized limit order books (QCLOBs), a market structure where institutions can only trade with counterparties with whom they have sufficient bilateral credit. Using high-quality data from Hotspot FX for three currency pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP) over 30 trading days, the authors reconstruct the global limit order book and trade-price series. They argue that the traditional quote-relative coordinate frame is unsuitable for QCLOBs because institutions cannot see global quotes; instead, they propose a trade-relative frame based on the most recent trade prices, which are visible to all participants.
The empirical analysis reveals several key features: market orders are rare (less than 0.05% of order flow), most limit orders are cancelled, and institutions exhibit selective liquidity-taking, often matching only a fraction of the available queue depth. The authors also observe that global bid–ask spreads can become negative, though briefly. A striking finding is that the distributions of order flow and LOB state vary considerably across days but can be collapsed onto a single curve via a simple linear rescaling. Motivated by this universality, they propose a semi-parametric model that provides similar performance to parametric curve-fitting but is simpler and faster to implement. This work highlights important differences between QCLOBs and centralized LOBs, and offers new tools for analyzing such markets.
Highlights
- 1Introduces the concept of quasi-centralized limit order books (QCLOBs) and highlights their differences from centralized LOBs.
- 2Proposes a trade-relative coordinate frame as a natural alternative to quote-relative coordinates for studying QCLOBs.
- 3Uncovers an empirical universality: linear rescaling of daily order flow and LOB state distributions collapses them onto a single curve.
- 4Develops a semi-parametric model for order flow and LOB state that is simpler and faster than parametric curve-fitting.
- 5Provides the first detailed empirical analysis of a QCLOB using high-quality data from Hotspot FX.
Methods
- MEmpirical analysis of limit order book data from Hotspot FX, reconstructing the global LOB and trade-price series.
- MUse of event time to remove nonstationarities in calendar time.
- MTrade-relative coordinate frame: measuring prices relative to the most recent seller-initiated and buyer-initiated trades.
- MSemi-parametric modeling: linear rescaling of daily distributions to achieve curve collapse.
Results
- RMarket orders constitute less than 0.05% of total order flow; most limit orders end in cancellation.
- RMean total depth at best quotes is less than 1% of total active liquidity, but still exceeds mean market order size by a factor of almost 10.
- RNegative global bid–ask spreads occur reasonably frequently but do not persist.
- RMean market order size grows linearly with queue length for small queues but becomes constant for queues longer than about 1 million units.
- RDistributions of order flow and LOB state vary across days but collapse onto a single curve after linear rescaling.
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