Integrative Analysis of Financial Market Sentiment Using CNN and GRU for Risk Prediction and Alert Systems

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Integrative Analysis of Financial Market Sentiment Using CNN and GRU for Risk Prediction and Alert Systems

You Wu
Mengfang Sun
Hongye Zheng
Jinxin Hu
Yingbin Liang
Zhenghao Lin
Published on 12/13/2024
Equities
Stocks
AI
Machine learning
Deep learning
Sentiment
Risk management

This paper presents a hybrid deep learning framework that combines Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) for analyzing stock market sentiment from network text data and generating risk alerts. The CNN component is employed to preprocess and extract local features and patterns from large volumes of textual data, such as news articles or social media posts. These extracted feature sequences are then fed into the GRU model, which captures the temporal progression of emotional states and their potential impact on future market sentiment and risk. By leveraging CNN's strength in spatial feature extraction and GRU's ability to handle sequential dependencies, the proposed method effectively addresses the order dependence and long-term dependencies inherent in time series data. The integrated approach results in a detailed analysis of stock market sentiment and provides effective early warnings of future risks, demonstrating its potential for real-world financial risk management applications.

Highlights

  • 1Integrates CNN and GRU for financial sentiment analysis and risk prediction.
  • 2Uses CNN to extract local features from extensive network text data.
  • 3Employs GRU to model temporal dependencies in sentiment evolution.
  • 4Provides early warning system for future market risks based on sentiment analysis.

Methods

  • M
    Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) for feature extraction from text data.
  • M
    Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) for modeling sequential sentiment dynamics.
  • M
    Hybrid CNN-GRU architecture combining spatial and temporal learning.

Results

  • R
    CNN effectively identifies local patterns in financial text data.
  • R
    GRU captures long-term dependencies in sentiment time series.
  • R
    Combined model enables precise risk alerts and early warnings.
  • R
    Approach addresses order dependence in sentiment data.
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