GPT-InvestAR: Enhancing Stock Investment Strategies through Annual Report Analysis with Large Language Models

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GPT-InvestAR: Enhancing Stock Investment Strategies through Annual Report Analysis with Large Language Models

Udit Gupta
Published on 9/6/2023
Equities
Stocks
United States (US)
AI
LLM
Machine learning
Fundamental analysis
Stock picking
Sentiment
Alternative data

This paper introduces GPT-InvestAR, a novel framework that enhances stock investment strategies by automating the analysis of Annual Reports using Large Language Models (LLMs). Annual Reports are critical for assessing a company's financial health but are often lengthy and complex, making manual analysis time-consuming and requiring expert knowledge. The authors address this challenge by leveraging LLMs to extract valuable insights from these documents, compiling the outputs into a quantitative dataset that is augmented with historical stock price data. This approach transforms unstructured textual information into structured features suitable for machine learning applications.

A Machine Learning model is then trained using these LLM-generated features to predict stock performance, with the methodology validated through walkforward testing. The results demonstrate promising outperformance compared to S&P500 returns, indicating that the framework can effectively enhance investment decision-making. By releasing the code as open source, the paper provides a scalable and accessible tool for future research in AI-driven financial analysis, potentially democratizing access to sophisticated investment strategies and reducing reliance on manual expertise.

Highlights

  • 1Leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze lengthy Annual Reports for stock investment insights
  • 2Compiles LLM outputs into a quantitative dataset augmented with historical stock price data
  • 3Trains a Machine Learning model using LLM-generated features to predict stock performance
  • 4Demonstrates promising outperformance against S&P500 returns in walkforward tests
  • 5Provides an open-source framework for future research in AI-driven financial analysis

Methods

  • M
    Large Language Model (LLM) analysis of Annual Reports to extract key financial insights
  • M
    Quantitative dataset compilation integrating LLM outputs with historical stock price data
  • M
    Machine Learning model training using LLM-generated features for stock prediction
  • M
    Walkforward testing to evaluate model performance against benchmark returns

Results

  • R
    LLM effectively processes and summarizes extensive Annual Reports, reducing manual analysis burden
  • R
    Machine Learning model trained on LLM features shows enhanced predictive capabilities for stock investments
  • R
    Walkforward tests indicate the model outperforms S&P500 returns, suggesting improved investment strategies
  • R
    Framework enables scalable analysis across multiple firms, facilitating broader market applications
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