GPT-InvestAR: Enhancing Stock Investment Strategies through Annual Report Analysis with Large Language Models
GPT-InvestAR: Enhancing Stock Investment Strategies through Annual Report Analysis with Large Language Models
This paper introduces GPT-InvestAR, a novel framework that enhances stock investment strategies by automating the analysis of Annual Reports using Large Language Models (LLMs). Annual Reports are critical for assessing a company's financial health but are often lengthy and complex, making manual analysis time-consuming and requiring expert knowledge. The authors address this challenge by leveraging LLMs to extract valuable insights from these documents, compiling the outputs into a quantitative dataset that is augmented with historical stock price data. This approach transforms unstructured textual information into structured features suitable for machine learning applications.
A Machine Learning model is then trained using these LLM-generated features to predict stock performance, with the methodology validated through walkforward testing. The results demonstrate promising outperformance compared to S&P500 returns, indicating that the framework can effectively enhance investment decision-making. By releasing the code as open source, the paper provides a scalable and accessible tool for future research in AI-driven financial analysis, potentially democratizing access to sophisticated investment strategies and reducing reliance on manual expertise.
Highlights
- 1Leverages Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze lengthy Annual Reports for stock investment insights
- 2Compiles LLM outputs into a quantitative dataset augmented with historical stock price data
- 3Trains a Machine Learning model using LLM-generated features to predict stock performance
- 4Demonstrates promising outperformance against S&P500 returns in walkforward tests
- 5Provides an open-source framework for future research in AI-driven financial analysis
Methods
- MLarge Language Model (LLM) analysis of Annual Reports to extract key financial insights
- MQuantitative dataset compilation integrating LLM outputs with historical stock price data
- MMachine Learning model training using LLM-generated features for stock prediction
- MWalkforward testing to evaluate model performance against benchmark returns
Results
- RLLM effectively processes and summarizes extensive Annual Reports, reducing manual analysis burden
- RMachine Learning model trained on LLM features shows enhanced predictive capabilities for stock investments
- RWalkforward tests indicate the model outperforms S&P500 returns, suggesting improved investment strategies
- RFramework enables scalable analysis across multiple firms, facilitating broader market applications
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